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Cross-Functional Cloud Migration Renewal - Extension

ID: 8331175-20

Potential Value

$480,032

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

20%

Days in Pipeline

1001

Client & Account

Client

Cornerstone Municipal Enterprises

City

San Francisco

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Organization & People

Opportunity Sub-SL

Organization & People

Competency

People Experience

Global Service Code

Market Analysis (82042)

People & Dates

Partner

Ward Wei

Pursuit Leader

Kobayashi Jeffrey

Open Date

Aug 16, 2023

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Cross-Functional Cloud Migration Renewal - Extension

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

32.7%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$84,989

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.580
Jamaica geographic factor
-0.494
Service sub-line track record
-0.370

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

32.7%

Model A: Planning

54.1%

Model B: Early Signal

18.1%

Stated Probability

20%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

54.1%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.290
Service sub-line track record
-1.089
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.861

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (54%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

18.1%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-1.015
Jamaica geographic factor
+0.638
Deal size
-0.610

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (18%). Factors working in favor: jamaica geographic factor. Factors working against: service sub-line track record, deal size.