IdentifyWithin 30 Days

Agile Procurement Advisory - FY25

ID: 4279037-10

Potential Value

$1,000,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

938

Client & Account

Client

Heritage Pharmaceutical Council

City

Denver

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Assurance

Field of Play

Risk

Opportunity Sub-SL

Forensics

Competency

Incident Response & Resilience

Global Service Code

Mediation Services (94774)

People & Dates

Partner

Taylor Marcel

Pursuit Leader

Zhang Daniel

Open Date

Oct 18, 2023

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 13, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Agile Procurement Advisory - FY25

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

89.9%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$793,730

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.743
Non-recurring work
+0.713
Recurring/additional sale
+0.460

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

89.9%

Model A: Planning

88.3%

Model B: Early Signal

87.0%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

88.3%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.982
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.479
Recurring/additional sale
+0.738

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (88%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

87.0%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.087
Recurring/additional sale
+0.563
OpportunityType Additional Sales Opportunity
+0.559

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (87%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale, opportunitytype additional sales opportunity.