IdentifyOver 90 Days

Agile Finance Framework

ID: 9454928-10

Potential Value

$15,300,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

162

Client & Account

Client

Azure Security Council

City

Chicago

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy & Transformation

Competency

Enterprise Transformation

Global Service Code

Process Reengineering (74403)

People & Dates

Partner

Meyer Brenda

Pursuit Leader

Ruiz Samuel

Open Date

Dec 2, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Sep 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Agile Finance Framework

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

14.8%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$383,169

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.534
Work type
+0.467
Account track record
-0.430

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

14.8%

Model A: Planning

16.9%

Model B: Early Signal

3.8%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

16.9%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.469
Deal age (days since open)
-0.645
Deal size vs service line median
-0.643

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (17%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open), deal size vs service line median.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

3.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.953
Deal size vs service line median
-0.717
Service sub-line track record
-0.475

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (4%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.