Advanced Supply Chain Engagement
ID: 5791012-50
Potential Value
$5,204
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
25%
Days in Pipeline
307
Service Line
SaT
Field of Play
Tax
Opportunity Sub-SL
ITTS (in SaT)
Competency
ITTS Advisory (in SaT)
Global Service Code
Vendor Management (75003)
Partner
Young Jean
Pursuit Leader
Morris Elizabeth
Open Date
Jul 10, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Jan 31, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Advanced Supply Chain Engagement
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
85.2%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$2,700
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
85.2%
Model A: Planning
60.9%
Model B: Early Signal
61.6%
Stated Probability
25%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
60.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (61%). Factors working against: market segment, time in current pipeline stage, deal age (days since open).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
61.6%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (62%). Factors working in favor: deal size. Factors working against: account business unit, market segment.