PursuePast Due

Accelerated Change Management Solution - Phase 2

ID: 2471181-10

Potential Value

$200,000

Deal Value

$200,000

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

2413

Client & Account

Client

Diamond Telecommunications Council

City

San Francisco

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Transactions & Corporate Finance

Competency

TCF - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Regulatory Compliance (61122)

People & Dates

Partner

Becker Priya

Pursuit Leader

Joshi Susan

Open Date

Oct 4, 2019

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Accelerated Change Management Solution - Phase 2

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

63.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$36,791

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.608
Opportunity business unit
+0.453
Market segment
-0.221

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

63.6%

Model A: Planning

28.9%

Model B: Early Signal

4.0%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

28.9%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.244
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.790
Lead sales credit %
-0.767

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (29%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

4.0%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.780
Deal size vs service line median
-0.613
Service sub-line track record
-0.490

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (4%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.