Integrated Risk Management Diagnostic
ID: 3439404-10
Potential Value
-$5,204
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
25%
Days in Pipeline
307
Service Line
CBS & Elim
Field of Play
Tax
Opportunity Sub-SL
ITTS (Elim)
Competency
ITTS - ITTS Advisory (Elim)
Global Service Code
Vendor Management (75003)
Partner
Young Jean
Pursuit Leader
Morris Elizabeth
Open Date
Jul 10, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Jan 31, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Integrated Risk Management Diagnostic
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
85.2%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
-$2,838
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
85.2%
Model A: Planning
64.0%
Model B: Early Signal
38.8%
Stated Probability
25%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
64.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (64%). Factors working against: market segment, deal age (days since open), time in current pipeline stage.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
38.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (39%). Factors working against: account business unit, market segment, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).