IdentifyPast Due

Predictive Revenue Assurance Scale-Up

ID: 8817275-10

Potential Value

$1,000,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

230

Client & Account

Client

Nova Board

City

Washington

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Transactions & Corporate Finance

Competency

TCF - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Regulatory Compliance (61122)

People & Dates

Partner

Aguilar Jean-Paul

Pursuit Leader

Nguyen Olivia

Open Date

Sep 25, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Predictive Revenue Assurance Scale-Up

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

54.9%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$144,310

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.626
Opportunity business unit
+0.438
Deal size
-0.319

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

54.9%

Model A: Planning

26.3%

Model B: Early Signal

4.2%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

26.3%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.372
Lead sales credit %
-0.731
Time in current pipeline stage
-0.707

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (26%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %, time in current pipeline stage.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

4.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.934
Deal size vs service line median
-0.579
Deal size
-0.460

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (4%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, deal size.