Identify60-90 Days

Digital Cybersecurity Phase II (Revised)

ID: 5685162-30

Potential Value

$1

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

667

Client & Account

Client

Maple Services

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Finance

Opportunity Sub-SL

Finance´

Competency

Business Planning, Reporting & Analytics

Global Service Code

Internal Controls - Management (52177)

People & Dates

Partner

Meyer Brenda

Pursuit Leader

Ruiz Samuel

Open Date

Jul 15, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Jun 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Digital Cybersecurity Phase II (Revised)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

4.9%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$0

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.569
Deal size
-0.484
US Federal business unit
-0.460

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

4.9%

Model A: Planning

32.8%

Model B: Early Signal

11.6%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

32.8%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.273
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.971
Lead sales credit %
-0.709

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (33%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

11.6%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.733
Service sub-line track record
-0.454
Sub-sector track record
-0.422

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (12%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, sub-sector track record.