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Transformative Legacy System Phase I - FY25

ID: 5906422-40

Potential Value

$500,000

Deal Value

$500,000

Stated Probability

20%

Days in Pipeline

201

Client & Account

Client

Summit Consulting

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Organization & People

Opportunity Sub-SL

Organization & People

Competency

HR Transformation

Global Service Code

Asset Recovery (63713)

People & Dates

Partner

Meyer Brenda

Pursuit Leader

Robinson Patricia

Open Date

Oct 24, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

May 1, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Transformative Legacy System Phase I - FY25

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

24.4%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$26,443

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.549
Work type
+0.521
US Federal business unit
-0.303

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

24.4%

Model A: Planning

21.7%

Model B: Early Signal

11.4%

Stated Probability

20%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

21.7%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.018
Service sub-line track record
-0.938
Deal age (days since open)
-0.724

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (22%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

11.4%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.678
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.604
Deal size
-0.484

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (11%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size.