Multi-Phase Procurement Initiative - FY26
ID: 8572718-50
Potential Value
$600,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
400
Client
Mountain Regulatory Holdings
City
Houston
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Technology
Opportunity Sub-SL
Technology
Competency
Enterprise IT Transformation
Global Service Code
TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)
Partner
Ortiz Alejandro
Pursuit Leader
Bennett Lars
Open Date
Apr 8, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 26, 2027
Close Date
N/A
Description
Multi-Phase Procurement Initiative - FY26
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
29.8%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$107,530
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
29.8%
Model A: Planning
60.1%
Model B: Early Signal
61.0%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
60.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (60%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
61.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (61%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, market segment.