Digital Cost Optimization Extension
ID: 3445351-10
Potential Value
$200,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
35%
Days in Pipeline
212
Service Line
Assurance
Field of Play
Risk
Opportunity Sub-SL
Forensics
Competency
Integrity & Compliance
Global Service Code
Trade Compliance (53074)
Partner
Lee Lars
Pursuit Leader
Roberts Ryan
Open Date
Oct 13, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
May 1, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Digital Cost Optimization Extension
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
63.7%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$32,780
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
63.7%
Model A: Planning
25.7%
Model B: Early Signal
7.2%
Stated Probability
35%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
25.7%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (26%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
7.2%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (7%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size.