Qualify60-90 Days

Critical Supply Chain Migration - Phase 2

ID: 1396920-20

Potential Value

$100,000

Deal Value

$100,000

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

506

Client & Account

Client

Pathfinder Public Inc

City

Houston

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Transactions & Corporate Finance

Competency

TCF - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Regulatory Compliance (61122)

People & Dates

Partner

Becker Priya

Pursuit Leader

Turner Jennifer

Open Date

Dec 23, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Jun 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Critical Supply Chain Migration - Phase 2

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

89.9%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$82,808

Key Triage Drivers

Non-recurring work
+0.757
Work type
+0.743
Opportunity business unit
+0.361

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

89.9%

Model A: Planning

92.1%

Model B: Early Signal

89.6%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

92.1%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.849
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.409
Lead sales credit %
-0.640

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (92%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

89.6%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.976
Recurring/additional sale
+0.593
OpportunityType Additional Sales Opportunity
+0.509

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (90%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale, opportunitytype additional sales opportunity.