PursuePast Due

Next-Gen Cost Optimization Extension - FY26

ID: 5675808-30

Potential Value

$1,000,000

Deal Value

$1,000,000

Stated Probability

85%

Days in Pipeline

1035

Client & Account

Client

Phoenix Public Authority

City

Houston

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Cybersecurity

Opportunity Sub-SL

Cybersecurity

Competency

Cyber Operations

Global Service Code

Product Strategy - Review (69596)

People & Dates

Partner

Rivera Sophia

Pursuit Leader

Ortiz Amber

Open Date

Jul 13, 2023

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 4, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Next-Gen Cost Optimization Extension - FY26

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

96.7%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$852,473

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.743
Non-recurring work
+0.558
Renewal pursuit
+0.519

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

96.7%

Model A: Planning

88.1%

Model B: Early Signal

85.8%

Stated Probability

85%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

88.1%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.460
Time in current pipeline stage
-1.433
Lead sales credit %
-0.717

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (88%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

85.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.051
Deal size vs service line median
-0.620
Market segment
-0.471

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (86%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: deal size vs service line median, market segment.