Modernized Market Entry Program - Extension
ID: 6885223-20
Potential Value
$56,500
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
1001
Client
Cardinal Aerospace Services
City
Houston
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
Tax
Field of Play
Tax
Opportunity Sub-SL
BTS
Competency
BTS - Tax Policy & Controversy
Global Service Code
Fraud Prevention (44302)
Partner
Meyer Olivier
Pursuit Leader
Wang Evelyn
Open Date
Aug 16, 2023
Anticipated Win Date
Sep 18, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Modernized Market Entry Program - Extension
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
79.3%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$42,102
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
79.3%
Model A: Planning
93.9%
Model B: Early Signal
83.3%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
93.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (94%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
83.3%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (83%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), renewal pursuit. Factors working against: market segment.