ClosingPast Due

Modernized Revenue Assurance Renewal

ID: 6250792-50

Potential Value

$121,027

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

100%

Days in Pipeline

411

Client & Account

Client

Bear Research Industries

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Assurance

Field of Play

Audit & Governance

Opportunity Sub-SL

Audit

Competency

Audit (CORE)

Global Service Code

Trade Compliance (46686)

People & Dates

Partner

Schäfer Jean-Paul

Pursuit Leader

Miller Karin

Open Date

Mar 28, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 28, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Modernized Revenue Assurance Renewal

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

97.2%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$115,873

Key Triage Drivers

Non-recurring work
+0.782
Work type
+0.771
Service sub-line track record
+0.429

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

97.2%

Model A: Planning

98.5%

Model B: Early Signal

91.1%

Stated Probability

100%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

98.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.559
Lead sales credit %
-0.946
Market segment
-0.535

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (99%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: lead sales credit %, market segment.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

91.1%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.986
Market segment
-0.659
Account business unit
-0.610

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (91%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: market segment, account business unit.