PursueOver 90 Days

Scalable Compliance Optimization - Extension

ID: 3885541-50

Potential Value

$2,700,000

Deal Value

$2,700,000

Stated Probability

70%

Days in Pipeline

1282

Client & Account

Client

Phoenix Public Authority

City

Houston

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Cybersecurity

Opportunity Sub-SL

Cybersecurity

Competency

Cyber Operations

Global Service Code

Product Strategy - Review (69596)

People & Dates

Partner

Rivera Sophia

Pursuit Leader

Ortiz Amber

Open Date

Nov 8, 2022

Anticipated Win Date

Sep 29, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Scalable Compliance Optimization - Extension

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

97.7%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$2,511,030

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.776
Non-recurring work
+0.559
Recurring/additional sale
+0.528

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

97.7%

Model A: Planning

95.2%

Model B: Early Signal

92.5%

Stated Probability

70%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

95.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.601
Time in current pipeline stage
-1.426
Lead sales credit %
-0.807

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (95%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

92.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.071
Recurring/additional sale
+0.533
Market segment
-0.496

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (93%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: market segment.