IdentifyOver 90 Days

Dynamic Sustainability Initiative

ID: 1094349-10

Potential Value

$0

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

1472

Client & Account

Client

Pathfinder Financial Authority

City

Houston

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy & Transformation

Competency

Enterprise Transformation

Global Service Code

Capacity Building (76626)

People & Dates

Partner

Fischer Olivier

Pursuit Leader

Perez Ann

Open Date

May 2, 2022

Anticipated Win Date

Feb 1, 2027

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Dynamic Sustainability Initiative

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

50.9%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$0

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.667
Service sub-line track record
-0.428
Deal size
+0.285

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

50.9%

Model A: Planning

39.3%

Model B: Early Signal

18.5%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

39.3%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.357
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.849
Lead sales credit %
-0.774

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (39%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

18.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.637
Service sub-line track record
-0.531
Market segment
-0.357

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (18%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, market segment.